Sunday, September 26, 2010

Channing Frye, Charlie Frye, Charlie Batch

Week 3 kicks off with a plethora of good 1-1 teams, supposedly sketchy 2-0 teams, a couple very bad 2-0 teams, and a whole slew of deserving 0-2 fucks (Cowboys, Lions, Rams, Browns, Bills), perennial losers for 9-17 years. A season involving Dallas going 2-14 or worse, the Patriots & Jets missing the playoffs, and the Vikings doing so poorly that Brett Favre smashes through one of his mansion's rooms of mirrors and Wranglers would be just delightful. If Dallas and Minnesota went 0-16, the Seahawks and Jaguars could play in the Super Obsolete Bowl and I wouldn't even care.

My week 3 predictions (home team in caps, my pick in the left column):

NYG (-3) vs tennessee

buffalo (+14.5) vs NEW ENGLAND

cleveland (+12) vs BALTIMORE

pittsburgh (-3) vs TAMPA BAY

CAROLINA (+3.5) vs Cincinnati

NEW ORLEANS (-3.5) vs atlanta

KANSAS CITY (+3) vs san francisco

detroit (+12.5) vs MINNESOTA

HOUSTON (-3) vs dallas

ST LOUIS (+5) vs washington

philadelphia (-3) vs JACKSONVILLE

indianapolis (-6) vs DENVER

san diego (-4.5) vs SEATTLE

oakland (+5.5) vs ARIZONA

MIAMI (-2.5) vs new york jets

green bay (-3) vs CHICAGO



Lock of the Week: Miami getting 2.5 at home vs the Jets.

Upset special (underdog to straight win): Kansas City, Oakland, Carolina

Record so far this year: 9-6 for regular picks, 4-1 for upset specials








Saturday, September 25, 2010

Sticking to my guns like the Japanese soldiers at Iwo Jima. Too soon?

Ah, the sweet rumblings of the early NFL season. Preseason hype has become Super Bowl hype, former players turned pundits compete to be the first one to exhaust "I've got a feeling" as the focal point of an expert prediction, and fat guys everywhere rejoice over the opportunity to once again go shirtless in public. Otherwise useless cities like Indianapolis, Jacksonville and Green Bay can come out of their cultural hibernations to petition for relevance. Most importantly, Brett Favre stories are put on hold and he is forced to actually play football. Turns out grandfathers aren't so good at sports.

Take away the Giants' embarrassing loss on national tv, I really couldn't ask for more at this stage of the season. It feels like America's waistband has barely had time to expand and the Cowboys and Vikings are already panicking. (I don't hate the Vikings. I always thought the purple and gold thing was cool. But my disdain for Old Man Favre is so passionate I would root against a team in the Puppy Bowl if the Puppy Bowl had teams.) Nothing makes a contender sweat like starting 0-2. And nothing throws a team into disarray like hitting the panic button. So here's praying we see major overhauls on both these teams before they get a chance to figure things out.

It seems like teams all over the league have some kinks to work out. After enduring "will they or won't they?" undefeated teams for so many years, it's refreshing to see more parity around the league so far. The Colts decided to bypass their annual 12-0 run in favor of a more devious plan of starting with a loss, then winning 15 in a row as a giant "EFF YOU!" to the '72 Dolphins. Very sneaky, Peyton, you old dog you. Although nothing will come of it, the Bears, Chiefs and lowly Bucs are undefeated at this moment. Even the Lions are getting in on the whole equal playing field. Granted, they're still losing, but it's totally close in the fourth quarter. Good for you, Detroit!

We're two weeks deep and it still feels like we know nothing. What I'm saying is I'm totally justifying making predictions after the season already started. You get these kinds of luxuries when you work for free.

AFC South
How about them Texans? They still have to wait for Peyton Manning to retire before they win the division, but they are clearly a team on the rise.  It just goes to show you that slowly building your team through the draft and prudent salary cap management is a completely valid approach, so long as you're in a small market that doesn't demand two championships per season. 

Colts
Texans (Wild Card)
Titans
Jaguars

AFC West
The Chargers keep declining, the rest of the division keeps improving while still managing to post losing records. The Chiefs will fall to earth soon enough and order will be restored. Another totally unsurprising playoff loss for the Chargers awaits.

Chargers
Chiefs
Broncos
Raiders

AFC North
The hype train rolls on! Oooooh, the Ravens have recievers now! Is Joe Flacco still their quarteback? Awesome, have fun losing to the Colts when you realize the whole scoring points thing is kind of important. Ditto for the Steelers. Unless they trade for Peyton Manning, their isn't a quarterback in the world who can make that offense look good. Hines Ward hasn't been a true number one receiver since, well, ever. 

Ravens
Steelers (Wild Card)
Bengals 
Browns 

AFC East
I really love Rex Ryan's enthusiasm for snacks. I don't know if I can match his enthusiasm for the Jets. I still have no idea what to make of this team. Mark Sanchez is obviously not there yet. They could win a weaker division, but the Dolphins are quietly good and the Patriots have the talent to drop 50 on any given night. The Bills are unfathomably, inexplicably, mind-bendingly awful.

Dolphins
Patriots
Jets
Bills 

NFC South
The Saints are still awesome. Drew Brees is still running for Jesus. Seriously, doesn't he seem like the nicest guy in the world? And that picture of his kid with the huge headphones at the Super Bowl, awwwww. I just want to hang out with Drew Brees and talk about doing good things for underprivileged people. I mean, listen to him talk about the good things he does for underprivileged people and feel bad about being such a selfish prick. 

Saints
Falcons (Wild Card)
Bucs
Panthers

NFC West
As Charles Barkley might say, this division is turr-bull, just turr-bull. The starting quarterbacks in this division: Alex Smith. Derek Anderson, Sam Bradford, and the corpse of Matt Hasselbeck. Here's a groundbreaking thought: There will not be a Wild Card team coming out of this division.

49ers by default
Seahawks
Cardinals
Rams

NFC North
It is so sweet to watch Brett Favre fail. Is this petty? Who cares? I hope the Vikings go 0-16 and Favre throws 36 interceptions. I like the Bears right now. Jay Cutler has always been talented. If this Mike Martz experiment works out, they might even make the playoffs. Eh, maybe they should just settle for not embarrassing themselves.

Packers 
Bears (Wild Card)
Vikings
Lions

NFC East
The NFC Beast is looking more like the NFC medium sized dog. You don't want to piss if off, but it's not like your life depends on it or anything. Speaking of dogs, the Eagles found a way to make a mess out of Michael Vick on the football field. Since they have no offensive line whatsoever, I say enjoy it while it lasts. He probably can't sustain this level of play but it's fun as hell to watch. Almost as fun as watching Kevin Kolb get sacked four times a game when he eventually gets a sympathy start.  The Redskins have all the looks of a better but not ready team and the Cowboys are in glorious meltdown mode. That leaves my beloved Giants to swoop in and earn the right to lose in the first round of the playoffs. It's possible the Giants get it together and make a run, I just have my doubts. They have no depth behind a very old offensive line whose age is starting to show and while the defense is improved, the linebacking corps might be the worst in the league. It doesn't matter how many times you get to the quarterback if two guys get open every play. Call me cautiously pessimistic.

Giants
Redskins
Eagles
Cowboys


AFC Wild Card
Steelers over Dolphins, Texans over Chargers 
(Yup, I picked both Wild Card teams, sue me.)

NFC Wild Card
Giants over Bears, Falcons over 49ers

AFC Divisonal
Colts over Steelers, Texans over Ravens

NFC Divisonal
Packers over Falcons, Saints over Giants

Conference Championships
Colts over Texans, Packers over Saints

Colts win the Super Bowl! All hail Peyton Manning!

Sunday, September 12, 2010

And they tried to make us watch the Little League World Series...

Football, Football, Football!

This season I will make picks for each complete slate of games week by week, all the while keeping a record of my successes and failures, in the vein of a guy who gets paid to do it. I'm not promising to be as savvy as John Clayton, only to be less swarmy looking than him by the end of the year.

Week 1:
(Home team in caps, duh---and my pick for each game will be in the left column)

NYG (-7) vs Carolina

Miami (-3) vs BUFFALO

Atlanta (-1.5) vs PITTSBURGH

Detroit (+6.5) vs CHICAGO

NEW ENGLAND (-5) vs Cincinnati

TAMPA BAY (-3) vs Cleveland

Indianapolis (-2.5) vs HOUSTON

Oakland (+6.5) vs Tennessee

PHILADELPHIA (+3) vs Green Bay

SEATTLE (+3) vs San Francisco

ST LOUIS (+3.5) vs Arizona

WASHINGTON (+3.5) vs Dallas

Baltimore (+2) vs NYJ

KANSAS CITY (+5) vs San Diego

Push: JACKSONVILLE (-3) vs Denver


Upset picks of the week (underdog to straight win):

Seattle, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Washington, Kansas City

I-95 corridor bias notwithstanding, it'll happen.

Biggest blowout of the week: NYG over Carolina, followed by Miami over Buffalo


Thursday, September 2, 2010

Stevie Ray might call me a Fruit Booty

My girlfriend likes to boast about only eating meat once or twice a week. I fail to see the accomplishment in that. The only reason I don't always eat meat is because a lot of meat dishes are fattening and I'm vain. Oh, I'm also poor. I'm not extremely poor, just plain old lower middle class poor. If I was poor poor, I'd eat more "meat" because most of my meals would consist of spam and other mystery meats. Fortunately, I can afford chicken. But even chicken is like a bajillion times more expensive than celery. So I've learned to adapt and be healthy. Since I can't eat bacon cheeseburgers for breakfast, here are some vegetables I've learned to appreciate. Onions are left off the list because everything has onions.

Spinach: It makes for a pretty good omelette and eggs are dead animals if you believe in god. Just sayin.

Beets: Is this technically a vegetable? I don't care. Beets are delicious and get bonus points for not being green. I also like making beet hummus when I have access to a blender. Aaaaand my testicles just fell out. Let me squeeze those bad boys back in there. Moving on...

Eggplant/Zucchini/That yellow squash I'm pretty sure they just call yellow squash: I make lots of stir fries because they're easy and spicy asian sauces are the tits. I have yet to make a stir fry that suffered from adding squash.

Brussels Sprouts: These little guys get a worse rap than broccoli, which I also enjoy. I like looking sophisticated when I cook these properly, like that time one and only time I cooked brussels sprouts properly.

Okra: It's kinda smily, so people fry it. Mmm, thin excuses to fry things.

If you're wondering where corn is, it's in Nebraska.